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Public Seminar of RPg Student: Evidence for a Delayed Progenitor Population for CHIME non-repeating Fast Radio Bursts using a Self-Consistent Forward and Backward Inference Framework

Speaker

Mr. Ziliang ZHANG

Affiliation The University of Hong Kong
Date August 13, 2026 (Thursday)
Time 10:30 a.m.
Venue Room 522, 5/F, Chong Yuet Ming Physics Building, The University of Hong Kong

Abstract

Fast radio bursts (FRBs) are luminous extragalactic radio transients whose physical origins remain uncertain. Using over one thousand non-repeating events from CHIME/FRB Catalog 2, we infer the intrinsic FRB demographics with a self-consistent framework that combines backward non-parametric inference and forward population synthesis while accounting for probabilistic dispersion measure-redshift estimates, baseband-to-catalog fluence corrections, and the latest fuzzy multidimensional selection function.  We first apply a backward non-parametric method, the weighted Lynden-Bell C- estimator, to recover the intrinsic redshift and energy distributions without assuming any population model. Independently, we perform forward Monte Carlo population synthesis in observable dispersion measure-fluence space, treating candidate intrinsic redshift and energy distributions as population hypotheses and comparing the resulting selected synthetic catalogs with observations. We find that the intrinsic redshift distribution peaks at z~1, significantly lower than the cosmic star formation history (SFH) peak at z~1.7, indicating clear tension with a pure SFH-tracking scenario, suggesting that at least some FRBs are delayed with respect to SFH. The intrinsic energy distribution is consistent with a power law of index ~1.9 and steepens at higher energies. We find no significant evidence for a redshift-energy distribution correlation.